{"id":3077,"date":"2025-10-16T20:39:31","date_gmt":"2025-10-16T20:39:31","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/broad-index-level-selling-comes-knocking\/"},"modified":"2025-10-16T20:39:31","modified_gmt":"2025-10-16T20:39:31","slug":"broad-index-level-selling-comes-knocking","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/broad-index-level-selling-comes-knocking\/","title":{"rendered":"Broad index-level selling comes knocking"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<div>\n<div data-test=\"articleBody-2\" data-analytics=\"RegularArticle-articleBody-5-2\">\n<p>\n            <span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ArticleBody-extraData\"><br \/>\n                <span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"ArticleBody-extraData\"><br \/>\n                    <span hidden=\"\" aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"xyz-data\"><br \/>\n                        (These are the market notes on today&#8217;s action by Mike Santoli, CNBC&#8217;s Senior Markets Commentator.)<br \/>\n                        A fourth day of erratic action and failed rally attempts led to broader index-level selling.<br \/>\n                        Fatigue in semiconductor leadership coincided with stressed activity in financials, while Bitcoin struggled to recover from last week&#8217;s flash correction.<br \/>\n                        The S&#038;P 500 surrendered another early upside attempt, dropping over 1% at its worst point.<br \/>\n                        This week, the index has remained within Friday&#8217;s 3% range, indicating that last Friday&#8217;s sudden downturn disrupted the previously steady upward trend that had been in place for weeks.<br \/>\n                        This shift has opened the door for wider market fluctuations and deferred profit-taking.<br \/>\n                    <\/span><br \/>\n                <\/span><br \/>\n            <\/span><br \/>\n            <span class=\"HighlightShare-hidden\" style=\"top:0;left:0\"\/>\n        <\/p>\n<p>\n            Zooming out, the market appears to be in a sideways range near all-time highs since mid-September, oscillating between 6600 and 6700.<br \/>\n            The recent slippage has brought it close to its still-rising 50-day moving average.<br \/>\n            Typically, big banks trade lower after reporting earnings; however, Wall Street heavyweights had been buoyed by their results in recent days.<br \/>\n            Today, though, regional lenders faced significant pressure as anxiety about potential credit issues and tightening in parts of the wholesale funding market began to mount.<br \/>\n            While nothing critical has emerged yet, reports indicate that overnight funding markets are experiencing increased demand for cash reserves.\n        <\/p>\n<p>\n            Meanwhile, Jefferies shares fell another 10% during the firm&#8217;s investor day, struggling to distance themselves from the First Brands bankruptcy.<br \/>\n            Taiwan Semiconductor&#8217;s inability to maintain gains after a stellar quarter and strong guidance signals a potential short-term peak in the AI trade&#8217;s consistent upward trajectory.<br \/>\n            The ADRs shifted from a 2% early gain to a 2% drop, although they remain up 52% for the year.<br \/>\n            This situation appears more like a rest than a retrenchment at this point.\n        <\/p>\n<p>\n            For over a week, I&#8217;ve noted the low-quality leadership in small-cap stocks and the rampant momentum in various speculative sectors, including quantum technology, drones, crypto, and AI-adjacent energy startups.<br \/>\n            This culminated on Wednesday in one of the heaviest short-squeeze days in months, potentially exhausting near-term buying power as these groups began to slide.<br \/>\n            The micro-cap ETF (IWC) is down 3.2%, reflecting this trend.<br \/>\n            Stocks, oil, Treasury yields, and the dollar are all down, while the VIX has risen above 25 and gold continues to hold onto its recent gains, indicating a cautious step back from risk.\n        <\/p>\n<p>\n            The backdrop of a government shutdown and ongoing China-U.S. trade tensions has not yet triggered dramatic market reactions, but it does suggest potential friction in the economy.<br \/>\n            The bullish case for stocks remains intact, supported by rising earnings, a Federal Reserve poised to lower rates, tax relief measures set to kick in next year, and ongoing AI-capex momentum alongside decent GDP indicators.<br \/>\n            Many analysts discussing a late-year stock ramp have acknowledged the likelihood of some October volatility, and so far, this bout has been relatively mild.\n        <\/p>\n<p>\n            With key profit reports just days away, the focus could quickly shift back to tech-led growth.<br \/>\n            However, given elevated valuations, a lack of fresh official data, and the aggressive behavior of retail traders, it\u2019s challenging to assert that a few days of modest turbulence have sufficiently recharged the relentless rally.\n        <\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>(These are the market notes on today&#8217;s action by Mike Santoli, CNBC&#8217;s Senior Markets Commentator.) A fourth day of erratic action and failed rally attempts led to broader index-level selling. Fatigue in semiconductor leadership coincided with stressed activity in financials, while Bitcoin struggled to recover from last week&#8217;s flash correction. The S&#038;P 500 surrendered another [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":3078,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[28],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3077","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-investing"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3077","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3077"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/3077\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/3078"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3077"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=3077"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/igorsplayground.com\/appcheckr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=3077"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}