Dividends

Buybacks Over Dividends? These 2 Stock Picks Make a Strong Case

Investors typically benefit from stock investing in two primary ways. The most common method involves buying low and selling high for a profit. However, there comes a time when investors find a company they never want to part with, regardless of how much its stock price has risen. This is where the second method comes into play.

Dividend payouts, while appealing to some, often prove to be a less efficient way of rewarding shareholders compared to a company’s growth and compounding value. This brings us to a more effective strategy: stock buybacks. The advantages of stock buybacks will soon become evident.

Before diving into the benefits, it’s worth noting that two companies have recently announced stock buyback programs, which could indicate further upside potential. These companies are Bank of America Corp. (NYSE: BAC) and Dollar Tree Inc. (NASDAQ: DLTR), representing both the financial sector and the retail sector.

Why Buybacks Beat Dividends Every Time

When investors receive dividends, they face tax obligations on that income, highlighting the inefficiency of this method. Dividends are paid from company profits, which have already been taxed at the corporate level, resulting in a double taxation scenario.

Moreover, this capital leaves the company, limiting its ability to reinvest in growth opportunities, such as acquisitions or debt reduction, which can enhance net income margins. In contrast, stock buybacks are often a more advantageous and less discussed method of rewarding shareholders. They are not taxed and directly increase each shareholder’s ownership in the company, effectively shrinking the pie and providing larger slices for everyone. Additionally, buybacks can serve as tailwinds for valuations and earnings per share (EPS) growth.

Now, let’s explore what a new stock buyback program may signify for Bank of America and Dollar Tree.

A New Buying Spree for Bank of America

Bank of America has recently approved a stock buyback program to repurchase $40 billion worth of its stock. This move signals to retail investors that the bank’s future looks promising, even after a rally of 11.5% over the past quarter, bringing the stock to 93% of its 52-week highs.

Institutional buyers, such as Cooke & Bieler, have also taken notice, doubling their holdings in Bank of America to a total of $151.5 million, which constitutes about 15% of the $1.1 billion in institutional buying this quarter.

As expectations for a future interest rate cut rise, it is likely that Bank of America will benefit from increased demand for mortgages and credit cards, thereby boosting earnings. Interestingly, even if the Federal Reserve delays interest rate cuts, high deposits at commercial banks can be monetized through increased net interest income (NII). This may explain management’s focus on building momentum alongside institutional buyers.

Wall Street analysts are also optimistic, forecasting $1.06 in EPS for the second quarter of 2026, a 19% increase from the current $0.89, providing investors with a solid fundamental reason to consider this stock.

Tariff Fears Fade for Dollar Tree

As trade tariff negotiations between the United States and other countries progress, smaller players in the retail sector are finding new opportunities to rally and catch up with the S&P 500 index. Dollar Tree is one such company, experiencing a 38% rise over the quarter, showcasing the positive momentum in this new macro environment.

In light of this, management has announced a stock buyback program of $2.5 billion to reward investors willing to stay the course until volatility subsides.

While the consensus recommendation is to Hold with a target price of $97.7 per share—indicating a potential 15.5% decline from current levels—some Wall Street analysts have a more optimistic view. Matthew Boss and Seth Sigman from J.P. Morgan Chase and Barclays rate Dollar Tree stock as Overweight, valuing it at $138 per share.

This contrasting perspective offers investors the chance to align with management for an implied additional upside of 20% from today’s bullish price action.

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The views and opinions expressed herein are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect those of Nasdaq, Inc.